Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002447 0.002602 0.002768 0.002959 0.003174 0.003412 0.003695
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002245 0.002462 0.002708 0.003010 0.003377 0.003815 0.004393
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002065 0.002314 0.002608 0.002986 0.003473 0.004099 0.004999
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001961 0.002239 0.002577 0.003032 0.003652 0.004504 0.005853
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001856 0.002148 0.002514 0.003023 0.003746 0.004804 0.006631
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001753 0.002050 0.002429 0.002971 0.003769 0.004995 0.007286
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001709 0.002023 0.002433 0.003039 0.003971 0.005499 0.008684
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001664 0.001990 0.002425 0.003084 0.004142 0.005986 0.010292
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001594 0.001918 0.002357 0.003034 0.004150 0.006180 0.011338
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001518 0.001834 0.002265 0.002939 0.004070 0.006187 0.011907
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001474 0.001792 0.002232 0.002931 0.004135 0.006498 0.013571
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001388 0.001688 0.002103 0.002762 0.003900 0.006137 0.012863
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001359 0.001664 0.002092 0.002787 0.004025 0.006602 0.015505
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001336 0.001649 0.002093 0.002830 0.004192 0.007216 0.019746
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001299 0.001609 0.002056 0.002808 0.004229 0.007534 0.023322
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001279 0.001596 0.002057 0.002849 0.004399 0.008262 0.032054
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001249 0.001565 0.002030 0.002840 0.004464 0.008724 0.041661
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001213 0.001524 0.001984 0.002793 0.004442 0.008919 0.050315
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001203 0.001521 0.001998 0.002854 0.004667 0.010026 0.099991
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001189 0.001511 0.002000 0.002895 0.004853 0.011128 0.318801
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001158 0.001476 0.001959 0.002850 0.004828 0.011394 0.965032
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001121 0.001429 0.001899 0.002765 0.004694 0.011148 1.469643
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001101 0.001408 0.001879 0.002757 0.004752 0.011791 NaN